GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3146; (P) 1.3201; (R1) 1.3237; More….

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3350 extends to as low as 1.3097 so far today. The breach of 1.3109 support now raises chance of near term reversal. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for trend line support (now at 1.2944). Break will target 1.2774 support to confirm completion of rebound from 1.2391. Nevertheless, rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.3350, will resume rise from 1.2391 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will turn focus back to 1.2391 low and then 1.1946.

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