Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2536; (P) 1.2558; (R1) 1.2596; More….

GBP/USD fails to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA and dips mildly. But downside is held well above 1.2439 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.2783 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2439 would resume the decline from 1.3381 to retest 1.2391 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

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In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.


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