GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3299; (P) 1.3327; (R1) 1.3348; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 1.3512 resistance holds. Break of 1.3277 will resume the down trend from 1.4248 to 1.3164 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

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