Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2444; (P) 1.2474; (R1) 1.2499; More…
GBP/USD’s sharp fall in early US session argues that fall from 1.2614 is possibly resuming. Intraday bias is cautiously on the downside for 1.2376. Break will confirm and target 1.2108 support level. Overall, price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Decisive break of 1.2108 will be an early sign of larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2614 will extend the rise from 1.2108. But upside should be limited by 1.2705/2774 resistance zone to bring larger down trend resumption eventually.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.
