USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2760; (P) 1.2804; (R1) 1.2828; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.2762 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.2963 will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 key medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break of 1.3022 will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2286 at 1.3228. However, break of 1.2762 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2604 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. On the downside, however, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

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