Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3650; (P) 1.3813; (R1) 1.3920; More…
USD/CAD retreated notably after rising to 1.3976 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3501 support holds. Firm break of 1.3976 will target 200% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.4285. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour and daily MACD, break of 1.3501 will confirm short term topping,and bring deeper pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3337).
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.
