USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3729; (P) 1.3761; (R1) 1.3782; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral first despite current recovery. On the upside, firm break of 1.3813 will indicate that the pullback from 1.3923 has completed, and corrective rise from 1.3538 is still in progress. Retest of 1.3923 should be seen next. But upside should be limited by 1.4014 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.4791 to 1.3538 at 1.4017). Meanwhile, firm break of 1.3720 will argue that the corrective bounce has already completed, and bring retest of 1.3538 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 medium term top could either be a correction to rise from 1.2005 (2021 low), or trend reversal. In either case, further decline is expected as long as 1.4014 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 (2021 low) to 1.4791 at 1.3069.

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