Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9820; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9914; More….

USD/CHF rebounds to as high as 0.9903 so far today. Breach of the ner term falling channel resistance argues that correction from 1.0128 might have completed earlier than expected at 0.9716. Intraday bias is now cautiously on the upside for 0.9963 resistance first. Decisive break there would add more credence to this bullish case and target retest of 1.0128. However, break of 0.9800 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Corrective fall from 1.0128 would extend through 0.9716 to 0.9541 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546) instead.

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In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

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