Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9949; (R1) 0.9967; More….
USD/CHF is losing some upside momentum as seen with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9963 resistance should confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.0128 to 0.9716. Further rise should then be seen to retest 1.0128. And for now, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 0.9856 minor support holds.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.
