Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9816; (P) 0.9862; (R1) 0.9888; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Corrective rebound from 0.9695 should have completed at 0.9951, after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall should be seen back to retest 0.9695 low first. On the upside, above 0.9951 will extend the rebound from 0.9695. In that case, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030.

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In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.


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