USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.24; (P) 113.48; (R1) 113.88; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral with focus on 112.94 minor support. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 111.37. And, in that case, consolidation from 114.54 would start the third leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 111.37 support. On the upside, in case of another rally, due to loss of upside momentum, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 114.54/73 zone to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.76 will dampen this bullish view and turns outlook mixed again.

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