Tue, May 18, 2021 @ 10:29 GMT
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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.71; (P) 109.83; (R1) 110.00; More..

USD/JPY rises to as high as 110.80 so far and strong break of 110.28 resistance confirms resumption of whole rally from 104.45. Intraday bias is back on the upside for channel resistance (now at 111.21). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 112.40 resistance next. For now, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 109.65 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

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