USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.93; (P) 110.16; (R1) 110.52; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook. Intraday bias remains neutral with focus on 110.133 resistance. Sustained break there will argue that the choppy fall from 111.65 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this high. Rejection by 110.33 will maintain near term bearishness. Break of 109.05 will target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying neutral with 111.71 resistance intact. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA would argue that the pattern from 101.18 is starting another falling leg, that could head back to 102.58 support and below. For now, outlook won’t turn bullish as long as 111.71 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

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