Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.00; (P) 109.38; (R1) 109.64; More…
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside, as fall from 110.79 is in progress for 108.71 support. Firm break there will resume the decline from 111.65 and target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18 next. On the upside, above 109.74 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 110.79 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying neutral with 111.71 resistance intact. The pattern from 101.18 could still extend with another falling leg. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper fall to 107.47 support and below. Nevertheless, strong break of 111.71 resistance will confirm completion of the corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high). Further rise should then be seen to 114.54 and then 118.65 resistance.
