USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.42; (P) 135.02; (R1) 135.84; More…

Further decline is expected in USD/JPY as long as 135.55 minor resistance holds. Fall from 139.37 is seen as correcting the medium term up trend. Further fall would be seen to 131.34 resistance turned support and below. But strong support is expected above 126.35 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 135.55 will bring stronger rise back to retest 139.37 high instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.

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