USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.08; (P) 149.38; (R1) 149.88; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 148.57 minor support will indicate rejection by 55 4H EMA, and turn bias back to the downside for 147.14 and below, to resume the fall from 151.89. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 149.62) will revive near term bullishness, and target a retest on 151.89/93 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

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