USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.43; (P) 150.64; (R1) 150.91; More…

Immediate focus is now on 149.51 minor support in USD/JPY. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 149.51 should confirm short term topping at 150.87. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for channel support (now at 148.20), even as a corrective move. On the upside, though, break of 150.87 will resume the rally from 140.25 to retest 151.89/93 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 140.25 is seen as resuming the trend from 127.20 (2023 low). Decisive break of 151.89/.93 resistance zone will confirm this bullish case and target 61.8% projection of 127.20 to 151.89 from 140.25 at 155.50. However, break of 148.79 resistance turned support will delay this bullish case, and extend the corrective pattern from 151.89 with another falling leg.

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