USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.45; (P) 109.97; (R1) 110.65; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook. With 109.22 minor support intact, intraday bias stays on the upside for 111.47 resistance first. As noted before, a short term bottom was also in place at 108.27. Sustained break of 111.47 will also have 55 day EMA (now at 111.33) firmly taken out. In such case, further rise would be seen back to 113.38/114.73 resistance zone. On the downside, however, below 109.22 minor support will turn focus back to 108.27 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the corrective pattern from 118.65 is extending. There is risk of dropping further to 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. But this level should provide strong support to contain downside and bring resumption of rise from 98.97. However, sustained break of 106.48 will now likely send USD/JPY through 98.97 to resume the corrective fall from 125.85 (2015 high).

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