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USDJPY Outlook

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook


Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.05; (P) 111.34; (R1) 111.76; More...

USD/JPY rebounds strongly in early US session. But for the moment it's limited well below 112.71 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Decline from 114.73 could still extend lower and below 110.83 will target 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We're still favoring the case medium term corrective pattern from 118.65 has completed at 107.31 already. Hence, we'll looking for bottoming below 110.14 to bring another rise. On the upside, break of 112.71 will suggest that the fall from 114.73 is completed and turn bias to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 107.31 support holds, medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is not completed yet. And another rise is in favor. Break of 114.73 resistance will target a test on 118.65 high first. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this will and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.