USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.78; (P) 106.39; (R1) 106.74; More…

USD/JPY recovers mildly after dipping to 105.54. Still intraday bias remains on the downside for deeper fall. Current fall is part of the pattern from 118.65 and should target 118.65 to 100% projection of 118.65 to 108.12 from 114.73 at 104.20 next. On the upside, break of 107.89 minor resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the corrective pattern from 118.65 is extending. The solid break of 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. now suggests that the pattern from 125.85 high is possibly extending. Deeper fall could be seen through 98.97 key support (2016 low). This bearish case will now be favored as long as 110.47 resistance holds.

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