GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2342; (P) 1.2373; (R1) 1.2423; More

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.2435 today but lost momentum. Nonetheless, with 1.2308 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.2569 resistance. Consolidation pattern from 1.1946 is extending with another rising leg. And the larger down trend is not ready to resume yet. Break of 1.2569 will target .2705/74 resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.2705/2774 to limit upside to extend the sideway pattern. Break of 1.2308 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2108 support. Though, sustained break of 1.2774 will extend the rise towards 1.3444 key resistance level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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