EUR/CHF recovered to 1.0718 last week but reversed ahead of 1.0725 resistance and weakened. The development dampened the bullish reversal case and argue that more consolidations would be seen in near term.
Initial bias in EUR/CHF is neutral this week first. Below 1.0652 will extend the choppy fall from 1.0823 to 1.0620/1.0629 support zone. Without downside acceleration, the structure of the fall from 1.0823 is corrective in nature. And hence, we’d be cautious on bottoming at this 1.0620/29 support zone. On the upside, break of 1.0725 will suggest near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0823 resistance.
In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction might not be completed yet. And, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.
