Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5592; (P) 1.5634; (R1) 1.5661; More….
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.5578 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.5685) to bring another fall. Below 1.5578 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. Overall, even in case of stronger rebound, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5888 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from m 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.
