AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6948; (P) 0.6989; (R1) 0.7020; More…

AUD/USD recovers ahead of 0.6956 minor support and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.7047 will resume the rebound from 0.6831 to 61.8% retracement of 0.7295 to 0.6831 at 0.7118. Sustained break will target 0.7295 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.6956 support, however, will indicate completion of the rebound. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.6831 low.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

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