Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2861; (P) 1.2896; (R1) 1.2925; More….
USD/CAD lost some downside momentum with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. But with 1.3013 resistance intact, further decline is still expected. Current fall from 1.3793 should extend to retest 1.2460 low. However, break of 1.3013 will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back tot he upside for 1.3164/3346 resistance zone first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The second leg should have finished at 1.3793. Break of 1.2460 will extend such correction to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. However, firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4689 to 1.2460 from 1.3793 at 1.1564.
