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US PMI composite dropped to 40.5, already in a recession that will deepen further

US PMI Manufacturing dropped to 49.2 in March, down from 50.7, hitting a 127-month low. PMI Services dropped to 39.1, down from 49.4, record low. PMI Composite dropped to 40.5, down form 49.6, also a record low.

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:

“US companies reported the steepest downturn since 2009 in March as measures to limit the COVID-19 outbreak hit businesses across the country. The service sector has been especially badly affected, with consumer-facing industries such as restaurants, bars and hotels bearing the brunt of the social distancing measures, while travel and tourism has been decimated. However, manufacturing is also reporting a slump in demand, with production falling at a rate not seen since 2009, linked to either weak client demand, lost exports or supply shortages.

“Jobs are already being slashed at a pace not witnessed since the global financial crisis in 2009 as firms either close or reduce capacity amid widespread cost-cutting.

“The survey underscores how the US is likely already in a recession that will inevitably deepen further. The March PMI is roughly indicative of GDP falling at an annualised rate approaching 5%, but the increasing number of virus-fighting lockdowns and closures mean the second quarter will likely see a far steeper rate of decline.”

Full release here.

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