Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0999; (P) 1.1024; (R1) 1.1041; More…
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1087. At this point, we’d expect downside to be contained by 1.0986 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1087 at 1.0989) and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.1087 will target key resistance at 1.1127/98. However, break of 1.0986/89 will indicate short term topping, possibly on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, deeper fall would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0924) and below.
In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. We’ll favor this bullish case as long as 1.0830 support holds. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.
