Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6554; (P) 1.6739; (R1) 1.6865; More…
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral with focus on 1.6538. Decisive break there will resume the fall from 1.9799. Sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.5962 support next. On the upside, break of 0.7194 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.6538. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6538 at 1.7748 next.
In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 1.9799 is deep, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/AUD is still holding on to 1.6597 (2015 high) cluster support, with 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668. Larger rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.6597 suggest bearish reversal. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.
