EUR/JPY’s fall from 134.11 accelerated lower last week and the development suggests that it’s correcting whole rise from 121.63 to 134.11. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 131.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.
In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.
