Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.20; (P) 147.27; (R1) 147.88; More…
Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside with break of 146.65 temporary low. Fall from 151.89 is in progress and should target 145.06 key support level. On the upside, break of 148.50 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline with remain in favor in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.
