EUR/CHF’s stabilized after steep decline to 0.9359 last week and turned into sideway trading. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9516 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9336 support will solidify the case that corrective rebound from 0.9204 has already completed at 0.9516. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest 0.9204 low.
In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9489) argues that rebound from 0.9204 has completed as a corrective move after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Firm break of 0.9204/9 support zone will confirm larger down trend resumption.
In the long term picture, as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, the multi-decade down trend remains intact, with fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) as another falling leg. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption to 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851.
