Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6492; (P) 0.6513; (R1) 0.6534; More...
AUD/USD falls sharply today but stays above 0.6472 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more consolidations could be seen. Still, risk will remain on the downside as long as 0.6628 resistance holds. Current development suggests rejection by 0.6713 fibonacci resistance. Below 0.6472 will resume the fall from 0.6706 to 0.6413 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.5913 to 0.6706 at 0.6403).
In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. Rebound from 0.5913 is seen as a corrective move. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713 holds. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, sustained break of 0.6713 will be a strong sign of bullish trend reversal, and pave the way to 0.6941 structural resistance for confirmation.
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