HomeLive CommentsUS CPI Hits Highest Since 2023, Core Inflation Beats Expectations

US CPI Hits Highest Since 2023, Core Inflation Beats Expectations

US inflation accelerated further in April as rising energy and shelter costs kept price pressures elevated. Headline CPI rose 0.6% mom, matching expectations, while core CPI increased 0.4% mom, above the expected 0.3% gain and signaling broader underlying inflation momentum beyond energy alone.

The energy component remained the dominant driver of the monthly increase. The energy index rose 3.8% mom after surging 10.9% in March, accounting for more than 40% of the overall monthly rise in consumer prices. Gasoline prices alone climbed 5.4% during the month and were up 28.4% compared with a year earlier as the Middle East conflict continued disrupting global energy markets. Shelter costs also remained firm, rising 0.6% mom, while food prices increased 0.5% mom.

On an annual basis, headline CPI accelerated from 3.3% yoy to 3.8% yoy, above expectations of 3.7% yoy and marking the highest reading since May 2023. Core CPI also strengthened from 2.6% yoy to 2.8% yoy, exceeding forecasts of 2.7% yoy.

The report is likely to further reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts this year and may even revive market discussion around the possibility of additional tightening if energy-driven inflation pressures continue broadening into core categories.

Indicator Previous Latest Expectation
Headline CPI (MoM) 0.9% 0.6% 0.6%
Core CPI (MoM) 0.2% 0.4% 0.3%
Headline CPI (YoY) 3.3% 3.8% 3.7%
Core CPI (YoY) 2.6% 2.8% 2.7%

Full US CPI release here.

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