EUR/AUD’s fall is in progress today and intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 1.6108 low. Decisive break there will resume the whole down trend from 1.8554 high too. On the upside, though, above 1.6259 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.6617 resistance holds. Fall from 1.8554 (2025 high) is expected to continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.8554 at 1.5913. Decisive break there will pave the way back to 1.4281 (2022 low). However, firm break of 1.6617 should confirm medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rally.
