Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.61; (P) 105.92; (R1) 106.50; More…
Breaching of 106.37 minor resistance suggest temporary bottoming at 105.24. Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again for consolidation. But after all, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 107.67 resistance holds. Larger decline from 118.65 is expected to continue. Below 105.24 will target 100% projection of 118.65 to 108.12 from 114.73 at 104.20 next. Firm break there will pave the way to 98.97 key support level and below. However, break of 107.67 will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, stronger rebound would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 109.05) first.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that the corrective pattern from 118.65 is extending. The solid break of 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 now suggests that the pattern from 125.85 high is possibly extending. Deeper fall could be seen through 98.97 key support (2016 low). This bearish case will now be favored as long as 110.47 resistance holds.
