EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF extended the decline from 0.9995 last week but quickly rebounded. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and outlook is unchanged. That is fall from 0.9995 is a correction to rise from 0.9704 only. Break of 0.9878 resistance will indicate that such correction has completed and target 0.9995. Firm break there should confirm that larger corrective decline from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704 too.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9971) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0515) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9730; (P) 0.9772; (R1) 0.9798; More

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly after dipping to 0.9742 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9878 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside. Also, outlook is unchanged that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Sustained trading 55 D EMA (now at 0.9864) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9797; (R1) 0.9813; More

Despite a breach of 0.9774, EUR/CHF quickly recovered. While fall from 0.9995 could extend lower, downside should be contained well above 0.9704. Outlook is unchanged that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9869) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9785; (P) 0.9805; (R1) 0.9836; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk will stay on the upside as long as as long as 0.9774 short term bottom holds. Current development suggests that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9869) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9814; (P) 0.9835; (R1) 0.9851; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Risk will stay on the upside as long as as long as 0.9774 short term bottom holds. Current development suggests that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9873) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9826; (P) 0.9845; (R1) 0.9875; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Risk will stay on the upside as long as as long as 0.9774 short term bottom holds. Current development suggests that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9873) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9972) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded to 0.9878 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. A short term bottoming should be in place at 0.9774 on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Hence, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.9774 holds. Also, the development revived the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Break of 0.9878, and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9875) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0566) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9839; (P) 0.9859; (R1) 0.9885; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Decline form 0.9995 should have completed at 0.9774 already, well ahead of 0.9704 low. Current development also revives the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9875) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9798; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9864; More

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9846 resistance suggests that fall form 0.9995 has completed at 0.9774, well ahead of 0.9704 low. The development also argue revive the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9876) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9798; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9864; More

Immediate focus is now on 0.9846 in EUR/CHF as rebound from 0.9774 extends. Decisive break there will argue that pull back from 0.9995 has completed. More importantly, that would revive the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9876). Sustained trading above there will pave the way back to 0.9995 resistance next. Nevertheless, break of 0.9774 will resume recent decline to 0.9704 support and below.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9819; More

EUR/CHF continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But still deeper decline is expected with 0.9846 resistance holds. The cross is extending the correction from 1.0095, and further fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9819; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as fall from 0.9995 is expected with 0.9846 resistance intact. The fall is seen as part of the whole correction from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9792; (P) 0.9800; (R1) 0.9814; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as the decline from 0.9996 is in progress. The fall is seen as part of the whole correction from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s fall form 0.9996 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. This decline is seen as part of the whole correction from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0566) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9773; (P) 0.9806; (R1) 0.9824; More

Break of 0.9797 indicates that fall form 0.9995 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline is seen as part of the whole corrective pattern from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 support and below. For now, further decline will remain in favor as long as 0.9846 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9823; (P) 0.9835; (R1) 0.9846; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9797 is still extending. Deeper decline is in favor with 0.9889 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.9797 will target 0.9704 support and possibly below, as whole corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9817; (P) 0.9830; (R1) 0.9849; More

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9797 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Deeper decline is in favor with 0.9889 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.9797 will target 0.9704 support and possibly below, as whole corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9803; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9838; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 0.9797. Some consolidations could be seen first, but deeper decline is in favor with 0.9889 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.9797 will target 0.9704 support and possibly below, as whole corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9811; (P) 0.9829; (R1) 0.9846; More

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, but further decline is still expected with 0.9889 resistance intact. The corrective pattern from 1.0095 might be extending with another falling leg. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9704 support and possibly below. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s extended decline last week argues that rebound from 0.9704 might have completed at 0.9995 already. More importantly, the corrective pattern from 1.0095 might be extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline is expected this week as long as 0.9889 resistance holds, towards 0.9704 support. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.