USDCAD Outlook

USD/CAD's corrective fall from 1.4247 extended lower and intraday bias stays mildly on the downside. Strong support should be seen from 1.3965 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3480 to 1.4247 at 1.3954) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4127 will bring stronger rally back to retest 1.4247.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.4791 has completed as a three wave correction to 1.3480. It's still early to judge if rise from there a corrective bounce, or resumption of the larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). But in either case, retest of 1.4791 high should be seen next.

USD/CAD's break of 1.4005 minor support dampened the original bullish view, and suggests that recovery from 1.4002 has completed at 1.4127. Correction from 1.4247 is extending with another falling leg. But even so, downside should be contained by 1.3965 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3480 to 1.4247 at 1.3954) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4127 will bring stronger rally back to retest 1.4247.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.4791 has completed as a three wave correction to 1.3480. It's still early to judge if rise from there a corrective bounce, or resumption of the larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). But in either case, retest of 1.4791 high should be seen next.

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral again with current retreat. It's still slightly favored that corrective pullback from 1.4247 has completed at 1.4002. Above 1.4127 will bring stronger rebound to retest 1.4247 high. On the downside, though, below 1.4055 will extend the correction with another fall. But in that case, downside should be contained by 1.3965 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3480 to 1.4247 at 1.3954) to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.4791 has completed as a three wave correction to 1.3480. It's still early to judge if rise from there a corrective bounce, or resumption of the larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). But in either case, retest of 1.4791 high should be seen next.