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Weekly Focus – Recession Fears Abating on Softer Fed Talk

Market movers ahead

    • The US government shutdown continues. Look out for more negotiations.
    • US regional surveys from Philadelphia and New York (Empire) should give more clues to how much manufacturing is slowing down.
    • In the UK, the House of Commons will vote on Theresa May’s Brexit deal on Tuesday. We expect the House to vote it down.
    • We expect Chinese money and credit data to show how much the monetary easing is feeding through to the economy.
  • In Scandinavia, focus turns to Swedish inflation numbers and house price statistics.

Weekly wrap-up

  • US recession fears abated somewhat, as the Fed struck a more dovish tone and job growth is solid.
  • Risk sentiment improved with equities gaining and bond yields and oil prices moving higher.
  • US and China concluded another round of talks in Beijing this week. Negotiations continue according to plan and the top negotiators on both sides plan to meet later this month.
  • Theresa May suffered another heavy defeat on Brexit. Uncertainty prevails.
  • A softer tone from the Fed weakened the USD.

Full report in PDF.

Danske Bank
Danske Bankhttp://www.danskebank.com/danskeresearch
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