HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisChina Official PMIs Stay In Expansion Territory

China Official PMIs Stay In Expansion Territory

General Trend:

  • Asian equity markets trade generally higher, although participation limited; China and Japan closed for holidays
  • Hang Seng outperforms led by financial index: ICBC, Bank of China, Agbank and Bocom all gain after Q1 earnings reports
  • Singapore’s DBS reports Q1 results above ests; shares rise
  • M&A in focus: Sprint confirms merger with T-Mobile; Marathon Petroleum expected to make bid for Andeavor; REIT DCT Industrial to be acquired by Prologis; Sainsbury in talks to acquire Asda from Walmart
  • China April official manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs generally little changed m/m
  • Trump to meet with North Korea’s Kim within 3-4 weeks
  • Following last week’s inter-Korean summit, North Korea said to pledge to close nuclear test site in May
  • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate decision due on Tuesday, quarterly statement on monetary policy (including forecasts) expected on Friday, May 4th
  • Market closures expected on Tuesday’s session include China, HK, Indonesia, India, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand
  • US Fed decision expected on Wed, May 2nd: US payrolls due on Friday
  • This week’s US/China trade talks in focus

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 closed for holiday
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe Cabinet approval rating 43% v 42% in March – Nikkei Poll
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced Bond purchases for month of May (released on Friday, April 27th)

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.4%
  • (KR) According to South Korea officials North Korea has pledged to close its nuclear test site in May and invite foreign inspectors to verify the closure; This is notable but not new, the site has been inactive since the mountain it is located under started to collapse due to testing – press
  • Samsung Electronics, 005930.KR Trading halted starting today, for 3 days, as part of first-ever stock split action, which is 50-for-1
  • (KR) North and South Korea signed the Panmunjeom Declaration Friday, it minimized economic cooperation but left room for the possibility in the future
  • (KR) SOUTH KOREA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -2.5% V -0.4%E; Y/Y: -4.3% V -1.6%E
  • (KR) South Korea Mar Retail Sales m/m: 2.7% v 1.0% prior; y/y: 2.7% v 6.3% prior
  • (KR) South Korea Mar Construction Output y/y: -6.3% v 0.9% prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.8%, Shanghai Composite closed for holiday
  • Hang Seng Financials index gains over 2%, Property/Construction +1.5%
  • (CN) CHINA APR GOVT OFFICIAL MANUFACTURING PMI: 51.4 V 51.3E; NON-MANUFACTURING PMI: 54.8 V 54.5E
  • (CN) China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) eases restrictions on foreign investment in security joint ventures, removing the restriction of single foreign investors to a 30% stake in JVs – China Securities
  • (CN) China President Xi and India PM Modi in an informal visit reached broad consensus on the overarching, long-term and strategic issues of global and bilateral importance – Xinhua
  • (CN) According to China Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) trade volume between China and Russia expected to reach $100B or more in 2018 – Xinhua
  • (CN) China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) approves 2 IPO applications that will raise a total of CNY1.5B – Xinhua
  • (HK) Hong Kong government said to not easily withdraw measures aimed at cooling the property market – HK Press
  • 486.HK Oleg Deripaska agreed to sell down his majority ownership in EN+ Group PLC, the holding company that owns 48% of Rusal
  • Xiaomi: Follow Up: Speculated to plan to submit application for HK IPO later this week – HK Media

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.1%, closed +0.5%
  • ASX 200 Financials index +0.9%; Resources -0.4%
  • (NZ) New Zealand Treasury: Sees 2018 annual inflation less than 2%; H1 2018 annual GDP growth below 3%
  • Origin Energy, ORG.AU Reports Q3 (A$) Rev 491.9M v 385.3M y/y; production 62.7 pje v 79.7 y/y; Sales 61.2 pje v 56.0 y/y
  • Ramelius Resources, RMS.AU Guides Q4 production 58-62K oz; Raises FY18 production 205-215K oz (prior 200-210K oz)
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT M/M: 0.5% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 5.1% V 4.9%E
  • (AU) Fitch Report: Housing downturn could pressure bank ratings in Australia
  • (AU) Australia APRA: March loan balances A$2.6T, +0.5% m/m
  • (NZ) New Zealand Apr ANZ Activity Outlook: 17.8 v 21.8 prior; Business Confidence: -23.4 v -20.0 prior
  • (AU) Australia Apr Melbourne Institute Inflation m/m: 0.5% v 0.1% prior; y/y: 2.0% v 2.1% prior
  • (AU) Australia Apr TD Inflation Gauge m/m: 0.5% v 0.1% prior
  • (AU) Australia Mar HIA New Home Sales m/m: -2.0% v -0.7% prior
  • AGL.AU Received highly conditional A$250M cash proposal from Alinta and Chow Tai Fook for Liddell

Other Asia

  • DBS.SG Reports Q1 (S$) Net 1.51B v 1.4Be, Net interest income 2.13B v 1.83B y/y, Rev 3.36B v 2.89B y/y

North America

  • S Confirms agreement to merge with T-Mobile in all stock transaction with enterprise value of $146B; Jonh Legere named CEO
  • TWTR Sold data in 2015 to Aleksandr Kogan, the Cambridge University academic who gathered millions of Facebook users’ information without their knowledge – UK press
  • BIDU Enters into Definitive Agreements to Divest its Financial Services Business (FSG); Through deal FSG which will be renamed as Du Xiaoman Financial will raise ~$1.9B
  • ANDV Marathon Petroleum said to plan to acquire Andeavor for more than $20B or ~$150/share (cash and stock) – US financial press
  • WMT Sainsbury confirms in talks to acquire Asda from Walmart in deal said to be worth ÂŁ10B – press
  • (US) Commerce Sec Ross: White House plans to extend the steel and aluminum tariffs to some countries, but not all, following the scheduled expiration on May 1st

Europe

  • (UK) UK PM May accepts resignation of Home Sec Amber Rudd –
  • (IT) Five Start leader signals no Italy government possible with democrats – press

Levels as of 02:00ET

  • Hang Seng +1.7%; Shanghai Composite +0.2%; Kospi +0.7%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.3%; Nasdaq100 +0.6%, Dax +0.2%; FTSE100 +0.1%
  • EUR 1.2134-1.2119; JPY 109.18-109.02; AUD 0.7582-0.7559;NZD 0.7089-0.7063
  • Jun Gold -0.1% at $1,322/oz; Jun Crude Oil -0.3% at $67.92/brl; Jul Copper +0.3% at $3.08/lb
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