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Stocks slide on Hong Kong confrontation

The US Hong Kong Democracy bill has now passed both the Senate and House and could be sent to US President Trump as early as today for either signing or vetoing. This could put the Phase 1 trade talks in jeopardy with one news outlet suggesting it could be delayed to 2020.

US30USD Daily Chart

The US30 index is facing its third down day in a row today after touching the lowest level in a week yesterday

The 55-day moving average has risen to 27,063 while trendline support could be found near the 27,250 level

US existing home sales are seen rising 1.4% m/m in October, according to the latest survey of economists, a strong rebound from September’s -2.2%. Last night’s FOMC minutes had nothing new for markets. Fed’s Mester and Kashkari are scheduled to speak today.

DE30EUR Daily Chart

The Germany30 index fell to the lowest since November 4 yesterday and looks set to extend the recent decline to a fourth day

The 55-day moving average has risen to 12,647. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the rally from October 3 to November 12 is at 12,960

Euro-zone consumer confidence probably improved to -7.3 in November from -7.6 last month, according to the latest survey. We can expect speeches from ECB’s Mersch and De Guindos along with the minutes of the last ECB meeting today.

CN50USD Daily Chart

The China50 index fell the most in more than a week yesterday as the US-China trade negotiations morphed into an exchange of barbs over the Hong Kong situation

The index still managed to close above the 55-day moving average at 13,894 yesterday, as it has done since October 8

US President Trump is expected to sign the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act into law today, which would require annual reviews of Hong Kong’s special status under US law and sanction officials deemed responsible for human rights abuses. China has already said it would retaliate if the law was passed.

Kshitij Consultancy Service
Kshitij Consultancy Servicehttp://www.kshitij.com
These views/ forecasts/ suggestions, though proferred with the best of intentions, are based on our reading of the market at the time of writing. They are subject to change without notice.Though the information sources are believed to be reliable, the information is not guaranteed for accuracy. Those acting in the market on the basis of these are themselves responsibly for any profits or losses that might occur, without recourse to us. World financial markets, and especially the Foreign Exchange markets, are inherently risky and it is assumed that those who trade these markets are fully aware of the risk of real loss involved.

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