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China Caixin PMI services rose to 54.4, but more evidence need to confirm stabilization

China Caixin PMI services rose to 54.4 in March, up from 51.1, beat expectation of 52.0. That’s the highest reading in 14 months. PMI composite rose to 52.9, up from 50.7, strongest since June 2018. Markit also noted that Manufacturers and service providers both signal stronger increases in activity and new work. Renewed rise in manufacturing payrolls leads to first expansion of composite employment for over a year. Overall business confidence edges up to seven-month high.

Commenting on the China General Services PMI™ data, Dr. Zhengsheng Zhong, Director of Macroeconomic Analysis at CEBM Group said:

“In general, China’s economic fundamentals recovered in March, with domestic and external demand as well as manufacturing employment improving. However, business sentiment has remained cautious, and inflation was subdued. The three-month moving average of the Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction territory, while the Caixin China Composite Output Index showed tentative signs of recovery following a relatively subdued start to 2019. More evidence is needed to determine whether the Chinese economy has stabilized.”

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