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Australia NAB business confidence and conditions improved, but further stimulus still likely needed

Australia NAB Business Confidence rose from 0 to 2 in October. Business Conditions also rose from 2 to 3. NAB said “this month’s survey results continue to point to only modest outcomes in the business sector, though forward-looking indicators have improved slightly and may be pointing to a stabilisation in conditions.” Also, “acknowledging that the impact of recent rate cuts will take time to flow through the economy, it appears that the support provided by both fiscal and monetary policy this year has done little to offset the slowdown in the business sector.”

Alan Oster, NAB Group Chief Economist, also said: “The business sector has lost significant momentum over the past year or so, putting at risk the optimism around business investment and possibly employment going forward. Overall, we see this as a demand driven issue with private sector demand the weakest since the GFC. It may well be the case that the economy needs further stimulus in addition to the monetary and fiscal support provided so far to support demand and see a lift in business activity and confidence”.

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