Sterling retreats mildly as the last YouGov polls predicted that Conservative could win a much slimmer majority in Thursday’s elections, than projected two weeks ago. The possibility of a hung parliament cannot be ruled out.

The results of the final MRP model suggested the following results:

  • Con – 339 seats / 43% vote share
  • Lab – 231 / 34%
  • SNP – 41 / 3%
  • LD – 15 / 12%
  • Plaid – 4 / 1%
  • Green – 1 / 3%
  • Brexit Party – 0 / 3%

That is, Conservative could get a majority of only 28 seats. Back on November 28, Conservatives were projected to get 359 seats with majority of 68. Labor was predicted to win 211 seats only. Also, YouGov added that the margin of error could put the final number of Conservatives seats from 311 to 367. And, “this means that we absolutely cannot rule out the 2019 election producing a hung Parliament – nor can we rule out a larger Conservative majority.”

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