Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7366; (P) 0.7395; (R1) 0.7413; More…

AUD/USD’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as low as 0.7334 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline from 0.7748 should target 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there as there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. On the upside, above 0.7425 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

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