AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6839; (P) 0.6862; (R1) 0.6876; More…

AUD/USD drops further to as low as 0683 so far today as decline from 0.7295 is extending. Intraday bias stays the downside for retesting 0.6722 low next. On the upside, above 0.6884 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 0.7022 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

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