Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6857; (P) 0.6883; (R1) 0.6911; More…

AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.6831 extends higher today. While further rise cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited below 0.7022 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.6831 will extend the decline from 0.7295 to retest 0.6722 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.7022 will indicate near term bullish reversal and turn outlook bullish for 0.7205 resistance next.

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In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.


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