AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6592; (P) 0.6649; (R1) 0.6683; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.6619 support argues that consolidation pattern from 0.6563 has completed at 0.6804, and larger fall from 0.7156 is ready to resume. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 0.6563 support first. Firm break there should bring deeper decline through 0.6546 fibonacci level to 61.8% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6563 from 0.6804 at 0.6438 next. On the upside, though, above 0.6704 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546 holds, the decline from 0.7156 is seen as a correction to rally from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. Another rise should still be seen through 0.7156 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.6546 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.

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