AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7752; (P) 0.7775; (R1) 0.7805; More…

Breach of 0.7809 temporary top suggests rebound from 0.7642 is resuming. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is back on the upside for 0.7915 resistance next. Decisive break there should confirm whole decline from 0.8135 has completed at 0.7642. In that case, further rally should be see back to retest 0.8135 high. However, break of 0.7743 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7642 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed. In that case, AUD/USD would be heading back to 0.6826 low in medium term.

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