Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7434; (P) 0.7486; (R1) 0.7525; More…

Despite sharp decline from 0.7566, AUD/USD is holding above 0.7411 short term bottom. Intraday bias remains neutral first. More consolidation could be seen and above 0.7566 will bring another recovery. But in that case, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688 to bring decline resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7411 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target cluster support at 0.7328 (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326).

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In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.


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