EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6161; (P) 1.6197; (R1) 1.6266; More

EUR/AUD breached 1.6231 resistance but retreated quickly. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6231 will confirm completion of fall from 1.6448 at 1.5894. Further rise should then be seen to 1.6448 and above. On the downside, though, below 1.6093 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.5894 and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, medium term outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

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